Economist Mark Zandi sees the Fed surprising with three rate cuts in first half of 2026

Labor market weakness, uncertainty about inflation and political pressure will push the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates aggressively in the early part of 2026, according to Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody’s Analytics. Though markets and Fed officials themselves see only modest easing in the year ahead, Zandi expects the central bank to enact…

Read More

Treasury Secretary Bessent says more Fed rate cuts are ‘only ingredient missing’ for stronger economy

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent speaks during a press conference to unveil the official Trump Accounts website, at the Treasury Department in Washington, D.C., U.S., December 17, 2025. Aaron Schwartz | Reuters Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Thursday pressed the administration’s desire for lower interest rates, saying they are the key to future economic growth….

Read More

Jobs report December 2025:

The U.S. labor market ended 2025 on a soft note, with job creation in December less than expected, according to a report Friday from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Nonfarm payrolls rose a seasonally adjusted 50,000 for the month, lower than the downwardly revised 56,000 in November and short of the Dow Jones estimate for…

Read More

No Trump tariff ruling on Friday

A cargo ship sits in New York Harbor on Nov. 19, 2025 in New York City. Spencer Plat | Getty Images The Supreme Court did not rule Friday on the legality of broad tariffs imposed by President Donald Trump, leaving markets still awaiting a decision poised to have far-reaching impacts on trade policy and the…

Read More

Trump revealed jobs data early

President Donald Trump in a social media post Thursday evening indirectly revealed data from Friday’s market-moving nonfarm payrolls count, an apparent violation of long-standing federal policy on statistical releases. In a Truth Social post around 9 p.m. ET, the president indicated that private sector payrolls had expanded by 654,000 for the full year of 2025,…

Read More